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Politics

Next French Presidential Election

128 outcomes

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

5 outcomes

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

5 outcomes

Presidential Election Winner 2028

128 outcomes

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%
Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

58 outcomes

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

28 outcomes

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

5%
Jan 1, 5:00 AM

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

49 outcomes

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

3%
Jul 1, 3:59 AM

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

128 outcomes

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

9 outcomes

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

71 outcomes

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

3%
Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

19%
Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?

22 outcomes

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

6%
Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Texas Senate Election Winner

13 outcomes

Which party will win the House in 2026?

8%
Nov 4, 4:59 AM

Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?

26 outcomes

Iran leadership change by...?

4 outcomes

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%
Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

28%
Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

4 outcomes

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

9%
Nov 1, 3:59 AM

Next leader out of power before 2027?

22 outcomes

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

128 outcomes

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

53 outcomes

Elon Musk # tweets October 5 - October 7, 2026?

10 outcomes

Nevada Governor Election Winner

13 outcomes

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

5%
Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

26%
Nov 29, 4:59 AM

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

9 outcomes

Iran leader end of 2026?

121 outcomes

Houthis enter Aden by...?

12%
Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

63%
Oct 25, 11:59 PM

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

4 outcomes

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

39 outcomes

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

29%
Nov 4, 4:59 AM

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

5 outcomes

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

4 outcomes

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

12 outcomes

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

2%
Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Saudi airspace closed by...?

7%
Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

4 outcomes

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

18%
Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

6 outcomes

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

6%
Jan 1, 4:59 AM

New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

46%
Nov 29, 4:59 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

10%
Dec 1, 4:59 AM

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

3%
Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

13 outcomes

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

6 outcomes

MT-01 House Election Winner

8 outcomes

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

37 outcomes

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

23 outcomes

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

4 outcomes

Bulgaria Presidential Election

40 outcomes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

15 outcomes

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?

39 outcomes

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

4 outcomes

PA-01 House Election Winner

8 outcomes

Maine Senate Election Winner

13 outcomes

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

4 outcomes

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

57 outcomes

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?

4 outcomes

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

13 outcomes

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

5 outcomes

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%
Nov 4, 4:59 AM

Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?

30%
Feb 1, 4:59 AM

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

35 outcomes

Sinaloa Governor Election Winner

48 outcomes

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

2%
Nov 1, 3:59 AM

Montana Senate Election Winner

13 outcomes

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

64 outcomes

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

39 outcomes

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

9 outcomes

Texas Governor Election Winner

13 outcomes

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

72 outcomes

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%
Jan 1, 4:59 AM

GA-10 House Election Winner

8 outcomes

Next Premier of British Columbia

54%
Oct 24, 11:59 PM

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

35 outcomes

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

13 outcomes

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

19%
Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Ohio Senate Election Winner

13 outcomes

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

29 outcomes

Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?

4 outcomes

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