Fed Decision in September?
40%
$4.7m Vol.Sep 16, 12:00 AM
Politics
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$787k Vol.128 outcomes
Brazil Presidential Election
$752k Vol.32 outcomes
Next French Presidential Election
$465k Vol.128 outcomes
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
$405k Vol.32 outcomes
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$366k Vol.128 outcomes
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$359k Vol.128 outcomes
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$331k Vol.6 outcomes
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$245k Vol.34 outcomes
Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?
$228k Vol.21 outcomes
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
16%
$187k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$174k Vol.28 outcomes
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$146k Vol.5 outcomes
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
3%
$134k Vol.Sep 30, 12:00 AM
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
7%
$116k Vol.Oct 1, 3:59 AM
Elon Musk # tweets August 31 - September 2, 2026?
$96k Vol.10 outcomes
Trump out as President before 2027?
6%
$95k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$92k Vol.5 outcomes
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
$87k Vol.3 outcomes
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
$83k Vol.32 outcomes
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
14%
$82k Vol.Jan 1, 5:00 AM
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
$71k Vol.3 outcomes
Iran leadership change by...?
$61k Vol.5 outcomes
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
28%
$60k Vol.Dec 31, 12:00 AM
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
$50k Vol.4 outcomes
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
4%
$44k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Iran leader end of 2026?
$42k Vol.121 outcomes
Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
$41k Vol.26 outcomes
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
$40k Vol.5 outcomes
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
7%
$38k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?
14%
$36k Vol.Dec 31, 11:59 PM
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
$35k Vol.19 outcomes
Which party will win the House in 2026?
12%
$35k Vol.Nov 3, 12:00 AM
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?
28%
$32k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
$29k Vol.3 outcomes
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%
$27k Vol.Dec 31, 12:00 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
11%
$20k Vol.Oct 31, 12:00 AM
Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
$20k Vol.34 outcomes
Elon Musk # tweets September 3 - September 5, 2026?
$19k Vol.10 outcomes
MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner
$17k Vol.19 outcomes
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
96%
$17k Vol.Dec 31, 12:00 AM
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
13%
$17k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
67%
$16k Vol.Sep 20, 11:59 PM
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
$15k Vol.34 outcomes
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$15k Vol.57 outcomes
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
10%
$15k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
$13k Vol.36 outcomes
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
13%
$13k Vol.Sep 6, 12:00 AM
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
4%
$13k Vol.Oct 4, 12:00 AM
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?
93%
$12k Vol.Oct 4, 6:00 AM
When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?
$12k Vol.3 outcomes
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
$12k Vol.4 outcomes
New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner
$11k Vol.18 outcomes
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
6%
$11k Vol.Jul 1, 3:59 AM
Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by December 31?
96%
$11k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
$11k Vol.71 outcomes
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
$10k Vol.30 outcomes
Lima Mayoral Election Winner
$10k Vol.49 outcomes
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
$10k Vol.6 outcomes
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
22%
$10k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
$10.0k Vol.20 outcomes
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
18%
$9.6k Vol.Nov 30, 11:59 PM
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
8%
$9.4k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
1%
$9.3k Vol.Oct 1, 3:59 AM
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
26%
$9.3k Vol.Dec 31, 12:00 AM
United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
$9.1k Vol.7 outcomes
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
$9.1k Vol.16 outcomes
Khamenei # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?
$8.8k Vol.13 outcomes
AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?
$8.7k Vol.4 outcomes
Nevada Governor Election Winner
$8.6k Vol.13 outcomes
Berlin State Election Winner
$8.3k Vol.24 outcomes
Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
88%
$8.2k Vol.Oct 4, 6:00 AM
Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?
7%
$8.2k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Linke Vote Share?
$8.1k Vol.4 outcomes
Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?
52%
$7.9k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
$7.9k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?
8%
$7.4k Vol.Oct 1, 3:59 AM
Texas Senate Election Winner
$7.3k Vol.13 outcomes
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
42%
$7.2k Vol.Nov 1, 3:59 AM
Next Premier of Victoria
$7.2k Vol.42 outcomes
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
22%
$6.8k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner
$6.7k Vol.39 outcomes
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
12%
$6.6k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
5%
$6.5k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
$6.3k Vol.24 outcomes
Michigan Senate and Governor Combo
$6.0k Vol.5 outcomes
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