Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
4%
$42k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Science
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$7.3k Vol.6 outcomes
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$5.8k Vol.74 outcomes
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$4.7k Vol.9 outcomes
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
$3.8k Vol.9 outcomes
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?
47%
$3.6k Vol.Jun 30, 11:59 PM
Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?
$2.9k Vol.10 outcomes
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
44%
$1.6k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
$1.3k Vol.4 outcomes
Precipitation in Seattle in September?
$1.1k Vol.7 outcomes
Precipitation in London in September?
$840.6 Vol.7 outcomes
Precipitation in NYC in September?
$782.8 Vol.6 outcomes
New pandemic in 2026?
6%
$453.1 Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?
10%
$265.8 Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
$225.0 Vol.3 outcomes
Precipitation in Seoul in September?
$220.6 Vol.8 outcomes
How many SpaceX launches in September 2026?
$208.0 Vol.5 outcomes
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
2%
$162.0 Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
$150.9 Vol.3 outcomes
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
$136.9 Vol.6 outcomes
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
$127.4 Vol.3 outcomes
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
7%
$106.7 Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
$102.2 Vol.4 outcomes
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
$83.3 Vol.7 outcomes
Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?
18%
$72.9 Vol.Nov 1, 3:59 AM
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
3%
$68.3 Vol.Dec 31, 12:00 AM
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$63.8 Vol.6 outcomes
Natural Disaster in 2026?
22%
$46.8 Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?
14%
$45.0 Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
13%
$44.8 Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
26%
$40.0 Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
$40.0 Vol.3 outcomes
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
$21.7 Vol.3 outcomes
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
$5.1 Vol.8 outcomes
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
11%
$3.9 Vol.Mar 31, 12:00 AM
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
36%
$3.0 Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
$1.2 Vol.4 outcomes
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
2%
$1.0 Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$0.5 Vol.4 outcomes
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
4%
$0.0 Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
1%
$0.0 Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
4%
$0.0 Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
14%
$0.0 Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 34, 2026?
$0.0 Vol.3 outcomes
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
14%
$0.0 Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
1%
$0.0 Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
11%
$0.0 Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Trump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?
47%
$0.0 Vol.Jul 1, 3:59 AM
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
73%
$0.0 Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
9%
$0.0 Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
5%
$0.0 Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
13%
$0.0 Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?
96%
$0.0 Vol.Oct 1, 3:59 AM
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
8%
$0.0 Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
58%
$0.0 Vol.Dec 31, 12:00 AM
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