Hedge

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

26 outcomes

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

52%

Yes No

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

8 outcomes

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

6 outcomes

OpenAI IPO by...?

3 outcomes

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

8 outcomes

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

7 outcomes

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?

99%

Yes No

Nov 1, 3:59 AM

GPT Astra 6.1+: Text Arena Debut?

5 outcomes

When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?

16 outcomes

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?

56%

Yes No

Oct 27, 4:00 PM

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

13 outcomes

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?

61%

Yes No

Oct 27, 4:00 PM

Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...?

40 outcomes

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

10%

Yes No

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

74 outcomes

What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

6 outcomes

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

7 outcomes

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

10 outcomes

What will GPT Sol's output token price hit in 2026?

4 outcomes

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

95%

Anthropic OpenAI

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

7%

Yes No

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?

3 outcomes

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

10 outcomes

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

4 outcomes

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

9%

Yes No

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

GPT-7 released by...?

47%

Yes No

Dec 31, 11:59 PM

What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?

6 outcomes

Next GPT Terra Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

4 outcomes

OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?

19%

Yes No

Nov 1, 3:59 AM

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

9 outcomes

Another Codex outage in 2026?

97%

Yes No

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1%

Yes No

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?

6%

Yes No

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

GPT Astra 6.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

4 outcomes

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

91%

Anthropic OpenAI

Jan 5, 4:59 AM

How many Codex resets week of October 19?

4 outcomes

Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?

70%

Yes No

Dec 31, 11:59 PM

OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

9%

OpenAI Meta

Jan 5, 4:59 AM

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

2%

Yes No

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

3 outcomes

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?

15 outcomes

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

78%

Yes No

Nov 16, 4:59 AM

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

19 outcomes

3rd largest private company end of October?

98%

Yes No

Nov 1, 3:59 AM

OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?

9 outcomes

When will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released?

11 outcomes

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

9%

OpenAI + Anthropic Google

Jan 5, 4:59 AM

Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

76%

Anthropic OpenAI

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

ChatGPT Dots on the free plan by...?

4%

Yes No

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Frontier AI labs announce new joint pacing agreement in 2026?

39%

Yes No

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?

12%

Yes No

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

16%

Yes No

Oct 1, 3:59 AM

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

47%

OpenAI Anthropic

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

25%

Anthropic + OpenAI Microsoft

Jan 5, 4:59 AM

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

14%

Yes No

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

2nd largest private company end of October?

10 outcomes

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

32 outcomes

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by October 31?

5 outcomes

Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth October 2026

47%

Anthropic OpenAI

Nov 1, 3:59 AM

Largest private company end of October?

99%

Yes No

Nov 1, 3:59 AM

Private Companies - greatest valuation growth October 2026

5 outcomes

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

3%

Yes No

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?

13%

Yes No

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Astra removed from public access by October 31?

2%

Yes No

Nov 1, 3:59 AM

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes No

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Will OpenAI retract its Navier-Stokes solution by December 31, 2026?

7%

Yes No

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

33%

Yes No

Jan 31, 11:59 PM

Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

20%

Yes No

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?

58%

OpenAI Anthropic

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

9 outcomes

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

19 outcomes

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

76%

SpaceX OpenAI

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

83%

Yes No

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?

1%

Yes No

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

5%

Yes No

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

3%

Yes No

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

9%

Yes No

Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

3%

Yes No

Jan 1, 4:59 AM