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North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

4 outcomes

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 7)

21 outcomes

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (October 9)

14 outcomes

Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by...?

40%
Jan 1, 4:59 AM

ChatGPT Outage by...?

83%
Nov 1, 3:59 AM

GitHub.com critical incident by...?

75%
Nov 1, 3:59 AM

OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?

5 outcomes

How many Codex resets week of October 5?

5 outcomes

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 5?

15 outcomes

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 5?

15 outcomes

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 5?

15 outcomes

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

44%
Nov 1, 3:59 AM

Grok Bot on the free plan by...?

15%
Jan 1, 4:59 AM

ChatGPT Dots on the free plan by...?

8%
Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Gemini Spark on the free plan by...?

8%
Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Muse on Meta glasses by...?

70%
Jan 1, 4:59 AM

#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?

13 outcomes

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?

13 outcomes

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?

12 outcomes

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?

12 outcomes

What will Elon post this week? (October 5 - October 11)

12 outcomes

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

4 outcomes

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

27 outcomes

OpenRouter token usage week of October 5?

5 outcomes

Largest Company end of October 2026?

96%
Nov 1, 3:59 AM

2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?

29 outcomes

Which company has the best AI Agent end of December?

33 outcomes

#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

35 outcomes

Second-best AI Lab end of December?

35 outcomes

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?

35 outcomes

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?

35 outcomes

Third-best AI Lab end of December?

35 outcomes

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of December?

33 outcomes

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

25 outcomes

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of December?

33 outcomes

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

25 outcomes

Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

25 outcomes

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?

30 outcomes

#2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

35 outcomes

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?

30 outcomes

Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

35 outcomes

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?

35 outcomes

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?

27 outcomes

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of December?

32 outcomes

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of November?

30 outcomes

Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?

66%
Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Next Claude Haiku (4.6+) released on...?

27 outcomes

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

4 outcomes

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?

32 outcomes

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?

32 outcomes

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of November?

32 outcomes

3rd Largest Company end of October?

88%
Nov 1, 3:59 AM

Will Claude go down on __ days in October?

5 outcomes

Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?

7 outcomes

GPU rental prices (A100) end of November?

6 outcomes

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of November?

6 outcomes

GPU rental prices (H200) end of November?

6 outcomes

GPU rental prices (H100) end of November?

6 outcomes

GPU rental prices (B200) end of November?

6 outcomes

How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?

5 outcomes

Longest GitHub critical incident in October?

5 outcomes

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?

6 outcomes

America.gov removed by October 31?

2%
Nov 1, 3:59 AM

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

4 outcomes

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

5 outcomes

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

4 outcomes

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

4 outcomes

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

4 outcomes

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?

4 outcomes

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

4 outcomes

Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by...?

66%
Jan 31, 11:59 PM

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

4 outcomes

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

4 outcomes

Best AI model on October 12?

3 outcomes

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?

7 outcomes

Meta's Watermelon released on...?

27 outcomes

Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?

5 outcomes

Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?

5 outcomes

Meta's Watermelon Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

4 outcomes

OpenAI resumes training by...?

3 outcomes

OpenAI resumes training on...?

16 outcomes

GPT Astra 6.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

4 outcomes

Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?

4 outcomes

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

4 outcomes

What will GPT Sol's output token price hit in 2026?

4 outcomes

What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?

6 outcomes

What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?

5 outcomes

What will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?

4 outcomes

What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?

6 outcomes

What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

6 outcomes

What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

6 outcomes

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

47%
Dec 1, 4:59 AM

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?

3 outcomes

Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?

88%
Dec 31, 11:59 PM

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

27 outcomes

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

4 outcomes

Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?

4 outcomes

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

27 outcomes

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?

94%
Nov 1, 3:59 AM

Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...?

54%
Nov 30, 11:59 PM

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