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AWS service disrupted by...?
65%
Oct 1, 3:59 AM
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ChatGPT Full Outage by...?
54%
Oct 1, 3:59 AM
Critical Discord Incident by...?
10%
Oct 1, 3:59 AM
Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...?
4 outcomes
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?
6%
Oct 7, 2:59 PM
What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 7)
21 outcomes
What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (October 9)
14 outcomes
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?
12 outcomes
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?
12 outcomes
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?
13 outcomes
#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?
13 outcomes
What will Elon post this week? (October 5 - October 11)
12 outcomes
OpenRouter token usage week of October 5?
5 outcomes
How many Codex resets week of October 5?
5 outcomes
Best AI model on October 12?
3 outcomes
#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 5?
15 outcomes
#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 5?
15 outcomes
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 5?
15 outcomes
OpenAI resumes training on...?
17 outcomes
OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?
5 outcomes
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?
34 outcomes
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
34 outcomes
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
34 outcomes
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
25 outcomes
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
25 outcomes
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
25 outcomes
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?
30 outcomes
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
30 outcomes
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
30 outcomes
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
32 outcomes
Second-best AI Lab end of October?
32 outcomes
Third-best AI Lab end of October?
32 outcomes
Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)
32 outcomes
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
32 outcomes
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
27 outcomes
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
32 outcomes
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
32 outcomes
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?
32 outcomes
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
32 outcomes
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
32 outcomes
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
32 outcomes
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?
31 outcomes
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?
88%
Oct 31, 11:59 PM
Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?
28 outcomes
Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?
28 outcomes
Meta's Watermelon released on...?
28 outcomes
Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
3%
Nov 1, 3:59 AM
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
6 outcomes
Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?
5%
Nov 1, 3:59 AM
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship by October 31, 2026?
49%
Nov 1, 3:59 AM
SSI public model released by…?
3 outcomes
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
6 outcomes
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
6 outcomes
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
6 outcomes
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
6 outcomes
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
6 outcomes
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
32 outcomes
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?
87%
Nov 1, 3:59 AM
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?
40%
Nov 1, 3:59 AM
GitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026?
17%
Nov 1, 3:59 AM
Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of October?
29 outcomes
Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?
92%
Nov 1, 3:59 AM
Astra removed from public access by October 31?
3%
Nov 1, 3:59 AM
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
13 outcomes
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?
14 outcomes
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?
32%
Nov 1, 3:59 AM
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?
95%
Nov 1, 3:59 AM
OpenAI resumes training by...?
4 outcomes
America.gov removed by October 31?
2%
Nov 1, 3:59 AM
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?
6 outcomes
Longest GitHub critical incident in October?
5 outcomes
How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?
5 outcomes
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
7 outcomes
Will Claude go down on __ days in October?
5 outcomes
3rd Largest Company end of October?
86%
Nov 1, 3:59 AM
Next Claude Haiku (4.6+) released on...?
28 outcomes
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
29 outcomes
Largest Company end of October 2026?
96%
Nov 1, 3:59 AM
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
28 outcomes
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?
44%
Nov 1, 3:59 AM
GitHub.com critical incident by...?
95%
Nov 1, 3:59 AM
ChatGPT Outage by...?
84%
Nov 1, 3:59 AM
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
5 outcomes
League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?
71%
Nov 4, 4:59 AM
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
4%
Nov 20, 4:59 AM
Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?
39%
Nov 30, 11:59 PM
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?
3 outcomes
Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?
3 outcomes
Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?
22%
Nov 30, 11:59 PM
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...?
54%
Nov 30, 11:59 PM
Gemini 4.0 released by...?
5 outcomes
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?
14%
Dec 1, 4:59 AM
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by...?
68%
Dec 1, 4:59 AM
Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?
33 outcomes
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?
33 outcomes
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?
33 outcomes
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?
35 outcomes
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
35 outcomes
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
35 outcomes
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